Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.872625 1.000263 1.139206 1.301570 1.485990 1.688839 1.928773
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.729205 0.913160 1.130578 1.406002 1.745117 2.148501 2.664270
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.593753 0.807063 1.079068 1.450129 1.941840 2.569683 3.430717
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.500232 0.733766 1.053241 1.519802 2.181048 3.081517 4.397218
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.409375 0.645222 0.989881 1.526334 2.335634 3.505269 5.316801
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.347162 0.585023 0.954576 1.564628 2.539280 4.026546 6.455403
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.284988 0.511901 0.885577 1.537753 2.637516 4.403353 7.433400
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.252287 0.480536 0.876996 1.604985 2.894266 5.061880 8.950789
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.227893 0.458614 0.879843 1.690769 3.193711 5.830207 10.758296
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.198898 0.422182 0.849942 1.711803 3.380295 6.428420 12.352760
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.172710 0.385869 0.813513 1.713432 3.529339 6.976840 13.929238
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.151288 0.354992 0.782053 1.718678 3.684340 7.554113 15.633888
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.133159 0.328086 0.755004 1.730426 3.858348 8.199753 17.578236
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.120057 0.309961 0.743598 1.773729 4.105087 9.024759 19.999257
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.105242 0.284688 0.711814 1.766455 4.241566 9.641192 22.072716
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095518 0.270026 0.701964 1.807915 4.493222 10.536100 24.863738
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083669 0.247297 0.668580 1.787307 4.597723 11.121223 27.048195
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.075697 0.233364 0.654682 1.812582 4.815876 11.992273 29.999240
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065751 0.211637 0.616560 1.768986 4.856645 12.454504 32.053222
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.061506 0.205803 0.620199 1.837054 5.193103 13.670081 36.079911
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058435 0.202927 0.631603 1.928470 5.604946 15.124245 40.880957
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.053252 0.192177 0.618415 1.948111 5.825721 16.124077 44.658940
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.048045 0.180158 0.599261 1.947119 5.989140 16.996616 48.218844